Grêmio Barueri vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRÊ
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 1
GRÊ
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 4
BRA
44%
25%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
ITU
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
TAB
3 - 1
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TAB
1 - 0
GRE
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
TAB
0 - 3
FLA
6%
15%
79%
|
34 | 82 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 2
TAB
88%
10%
2%
|
33 | 82 | 49 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
TAB
1 - 1
JUV
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |