Grêmio Barueri vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 1
GRÊ
30%
23%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
3 - 1
GRÊ
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 0
AUD
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |