Grêmio Barueri vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
10 - 0
GRÊ
79%
15%
7%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
4 - 0
GRÊ
72%
19%
10%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
GUA
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
COM
5 - 2
GRÊ
72%
19%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
4 - 0
SAO
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 3
ATI
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITA
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |