Grêmio Barueri vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
GRÊ
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
PAU
28%
27%
46%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GRÊ
5 - 1
FRA
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 1
GRÊ
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 2
ITU
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
CAP
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAO
80%
15%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |