Grêmio Barueri vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
GRÊ
52%
22%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
MIR
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
GRÊ
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 5
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
RBB
0 - 0
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |