Grêmio Barueri vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
GRÊ
29%
24%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
VEL
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
GRÊ
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 3
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 0
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |