Grêmio Barueri vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
3 - 1
GRÊ
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
AUD
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
GRÊ
20%
21%
59%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
AME
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 3
PEN
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 1
RIO
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
RBB
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |