Grêmio Barueri vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
GRÊ
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 1
GRÊ
38%
24%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
38%
25%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
AUD
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |