Grêmio Barueri vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 0
GRÊ
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ITU
4 - 1
GRÊ
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GRÊ
2 - 4
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
GRÊ
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
PAU
28%
27%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 0
ITU
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PRI
3 - 0
SAO
12%
19%
69%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
PRI
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
GRÊ
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ITU
3 - 1
PRI
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |