Grêmio Barueri vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
BAT
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRÊ
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 5
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ITU
0 - 0
PAU
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 3
BOT
53%
23%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
MIR
2 - 0
PAU
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |