Grêmio Barueri vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GRÊ
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
PRI
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
ITU
15%
24%
62%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRÊ
68%
21%
11%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
PRI
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
NOR
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEM
0 - 4
NOR
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
BEB
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |