Grêmio Barueri vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
3 - 3
GRÊ
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 0
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GRÊ
2 - 3
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAD
6 - 0
GRÊ
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAX
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
MOG
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 0
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |