Grêmio Barueri vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
FRA
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
GRE
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 5
GRÊ
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 0
GRÊ
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
GRÊ
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
OES
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |