Grêmio Barueri vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRÊ
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MOG
3 - 1
GRÊ
27%
24%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
INT
2 - 2
GRÊ
12%
20%
68%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 4
SAN
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
TAU
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ECN
3 - 1
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |