Grêmio Barueri vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
VEL
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRÊ
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRÊ
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 4
GRÊ
15%
19%
66%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
GRÊ
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |