Grêmio Barueri vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRÊ
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
OES
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 2
GRÊ
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
JUV
3 - 2
GRÊ
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAO
12%
22%
66%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ITU
0 - 1
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
AGU
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |