Grêmio Barueri vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 4
GRÊ
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
CRI
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
NAU
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
GRÊ
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 2
GOI
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |