Grêmio Barueri vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
GRÊ
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
OPE
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRÊ
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 1
LUZ
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
3 - 1
GOI
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRÊ
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 0
GOI
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 2
OPE
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |