Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-2
Grêmio Barueri vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
GRÊ
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 0
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
GOI
83%
12%
4%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 1
GOI
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 2
GRÊ
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
2 - 0
GOI
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |