Grêmio Barueri vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
GRÊ
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
GRÊ
29%
24%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
RBB
2 - 1
FER
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
FER
4 - 0
RIO
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |