Grêmio Barueri vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 2
GRÊ
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
GRÊ
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
PPE
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
DUQ
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 3
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
SPO
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |