Grêmio Barueri vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
GRÊ
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRÊ
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
COM
78%
15%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
AUD
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
COM
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |