Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-5
Grêmio Barueri vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
CIA
2 - 1
GRÊ
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 0
GRÊ
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRÊ
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
RBB
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
TCW
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 3
CIA
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
CIA
2 - 1
GRÊ
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 0
ACP
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LON
2 - 0
CIA
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |