Grêmio Barueri vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 1
GRÊ
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
GRÊ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
IFC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
GRÊ
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
CAT
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 0
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
RIO
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |