Grêmio Barueri vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GOI
2 - 2
GRÊ
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
PAL
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
GRÊ
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
FLU
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
GRÊ
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
AVA
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
COT
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
AVA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |