Grêmio Barueri vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 1
GRÊ
38%
24%
39%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
GRÊ
37%
24%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 2
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
RIO
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 1
UNI
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
ATL
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |