Grêmio Barueri vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 2
GRÊ
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRÊ
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
BOT
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
SCI
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRÊ
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ATP
1 - 1
CRZ
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ATP
2 - 0
GOI
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 0
ATP
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |