Grêmio Barueri vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VOT
0 - 0
GRÊ
65%
20%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
JUV
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRÊ
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LUZ
4 - 0
GRÊ
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
0 - 2
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COT
2 - 3
ATI
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
ATI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
2 - 0
RIO
25%
23%
51%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATI
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |