Grêmio Barueri vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRÊ
17%
20%
64%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
SAL
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 2
GRÊ
54%
23%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NOR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |