Copa Gaúcha Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Grêmio B vs Juventude II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 2
GRE
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 2
GRE
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOR
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 3
GRE
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 2
NOV
41%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventude II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 2
GRE
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 1
JUV
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JUV
4 - 1
URS
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +6 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
URS
3 - 0
JUV
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 0
PAS
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | +9 |