Farroupilha vs Rio Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
54%
20%
25%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
MON
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
UHA
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
0 - 7
FAR
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 2
RIO
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEB
1 - 1
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
GEB
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAP
0 - 1
RIO
35%
22%
42%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |