Greifswalder vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
SCH
1 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
TEN
5 - 1
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GRE
3 - 1
FFC
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
HER
1 - 1
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
GRE
4 - 1
HZE
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
TAS
0 - 0
FFC
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
HER
5 - 0
TAS
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
TAS
1 - 2
HZE
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
PRE
4 - 0
TAS
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
TAS
4 - 3
KSC
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |