Greifswalder vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
HAN
5 - 2
GRE
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
GRE
1 - 0
REI
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
OPT
1 - 2
GRE
39%
24%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
GRE
3 - 2
SCH
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
HZE
2 - 2
GRE
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
NEU
2 - 0
PRE
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
SDC
2 - 0
NEU
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
NEU
1 - 6
BAK
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
KSC
2 - 0
NEU
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
HAN
10 - 1
NEU
65%
19%
15%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |