Greifswalder vs Lichtenrader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LFC
3 - 3
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
OPT
28%
25%
46%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 1
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
TOR
33%
24%
42%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 0
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenrader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NEU
4 - 0
LIC
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LIC
0 - 0
GSC
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
OPT
4 - 0
LIC
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LIC
4 - 2
MAL
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
LIC
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |