Greifswalder vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
HER
6 - 1
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
0 - 2
MSV
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
OPT
1 - 1
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 2
TEN
22%
25%
54%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
STA
0 - 1
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SCH
1 - 2
LIC
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LIC
0 - 4
BAK
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
PRE
0 - 0
LIC
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
LIC
1 - 2
LAS
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
REI
2 - 1
LIC
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |