Greenville Triumph vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
12º
5º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CRW
2 - 2
GTR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
CVF
1 - 2
GTR
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GTR
0 - 2
NCO
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 2
GTR
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OKS
0 - 1
GTR
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 1
CAR
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 2
LSC
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 5
CRW
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 2
CHA
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 2
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |