Greenock Morton vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
BRE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 4
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
AYR
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 1
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
STE
1 - 3
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 1
STE
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STE
0 - 1
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 0
STE
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
STE
2 - 1
PET
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |