Greenock Morton vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 1
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIV
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 5
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
GRE
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HIB
1 - 2
STM
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
STM
0 - 1
MHE
26%
28%
45%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
STM
1 - 0
ABE
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 0
STM
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |