Greenock Morton vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
RAI
1 - 2
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
GRE
1 - 1
FAL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
DUN
2 - 0
GRE
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
STI
2 - 2
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
STM
2 - 2
HAM
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
AYR
2 - 2
STM
58%
23%
18%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
STM
1 - 2
FAL
35%
28%
38%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 2
STM
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
STM
0 - 2
STI
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |