Greenock Morton vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
QOS
1 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 4
GLA
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ICT
0 - 1
STJ
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 2
PAR
61%
25%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 5
STJ
51%
28%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
STJ
2 - 1
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GLA
1 - 3
STJ
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |