Greenock Morton vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
HAM
10 - 2
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
FAL
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUN
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALL
2 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
LIV
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
STI
3 - 2
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
DAL
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 2
SPA
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 3
SPA
15%
19%
66%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRE
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |