Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
AIR
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CWB
0 - 1
GRE
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 3
FAL
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
GRE
48%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAI
3 - 3
HAM
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
RAI
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |