Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
5º
69
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 4
DUN
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 1
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
QUE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 1
RAI
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 0
PAR
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 3
AIR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 1
AYR
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
RAI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |