Greenock Morton vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 2
GRE
32%
25%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 3
STJ
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
QOS
1 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 0
RAI
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
QOS
1 - 4
LIV
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
GLA
1 - 0
LIV
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
0 - 1
STM
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DUM
2 - 1
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |