Greenock Morton vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUM
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
STJ
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CWB
5 - 1
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 3
DUM
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
4 - 1
LIV
54%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 0
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 1
DUN
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 2
ALL
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |