Greenock Morton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
ICT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 0
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
AIR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 0
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
HIB
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
5 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 4
HOM
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |