Greenock Morton vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
GRE
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
QUE
1 - 2
GRE
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAR
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
AYR
0 - 0
GRE
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 0
HAM
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 2
AYR
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 3
RAI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LIV
3 - 0
HAM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HAM
3 - 1
MUS
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |