Greenock Morton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
GRE
48%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 0
HAM
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
ALL
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
FAL
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 1
QUE
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAL
4 - 0
STE
78%
14%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |