Greenock Morton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 1
GRE
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
QOS
1 - 2
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 2
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ICT
1 - 1
GRE
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 2
LIV
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 0
DUN
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
FAL
21%
25%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SLR
1 - 2
FAL
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 4
QOS
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |