Greenock Morton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 1
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 4
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 2
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AIR
0 - 4
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
5 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 1
RAI
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 2
FAL
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 2
FAL
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 0
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |